December 7, 2018
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Midterms, oil prices, trade wars, conflict in Ukraine, and other instability made markets choppy in the fourth quarter. Research from Bespoke shows that the last three recessions (1990, 2001, 2007) followed the inversion of 3-year and 5-year treasuries by an average of 26 months. We just passed that yield curve inversion milestone. Folks may be...
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